Sunday, December 21, 2025
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    India-Born Indra Nooyi Joins Amazon Board Of Directors

    PepsiCo’s India-born former CEO Indra Nooyi has joined Amazon’s board of directors, the online retail giant has said.

    India-Born Indra Nooyi Joins Amazon Board Of Directors

    It Was Dark: Pakistan Defence Minister Pervez Khatak Trolled After Explaining Air Force Role

    Pakistan foreign minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi said: "May I just add. The Pakistan Air Force was already air-bound. We were ready for all eventualities."

    It Was Dark: Pakistan Defence Minister Pervez Khatak Trolled After Explaining Air Force Role

    If Pakistan Attacks India With 1 N-Bomb, They Could ‘Finish Us By Attacking With 20’: Musharraf

    If Pakistan Attacks India With 1 N-Bomb, They Could ‘Finish Us By Attacking With 20’: Musharraf
    Pervez Musharraf, former Pakistan president, said, "Indian and Pakistan relations have again reached a dangerous level."

    If Pakistan Attacks India With 1 N-Bomb, They Could ‘Finish Us By Attacking With 20’: Musharraf

    Dubai: Indian Woman Dies In Car Crash

    Dubai: Indian Woman Dies In Car Crash
    An Indian woman was killed and her husband was critically injured after their car crashed into a truck in Dubai, the media reported on Sunday.

    Dubai: Indian Woman Dies In Car Crash

    How China, Pakistan Opposed UNSC Statement On Pulwama

    However, the US assiduously worked as “pen holder” making various adjustments to get the approval by all other members of the Council, the sources told.

    How China, Pakistan Opposed UNSC Statement On Pulwama

    Mention Of JeM In UNSC Statement Only In General Terms, Not A Judgment: China

    The powerful UN Security Council (UNSC) on Thursday strongly condemned the “heinous and cowardly” terror attack.

    Mention Of JeM In UNSC Statement Only In General Terms, Not A Judgment: China