Sunday, December 21, 2025
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    Pakistani Man Gets 7-Year Jail For Killing Indian Worker In Dubai

    Pakistani Man Gets 7-Year Jail For Killing Indian Worker In Dubai
    A 37-year-old Pakistani citizen has been sentenced to seven years in prison, to would be followed by his deportation for stabbing his Indian roommate to death in October 2018 over an argument on leaving the lights on, the media reported.  

    Pakistani Man Gets 7-Year Jail For Killing Indian Worker In Dubai

    Pakistani Journalist Arrested For Being Critical Of Government Released

    Pakistani Journalist Arrested For Being Critical Of Government Released
    Rizwan Razi's counsel argued that the arrest of his client was against the freedom of expression and that he did not commit any crime as he was arrested without any complaint.  

    Pakistani Journalist Arrested For Being Critical Of Government Released

    We Have The Mecca And Medina Of Sikhs: Imran Khan Refers To Kartarpur

    Kartarpur Sahib in Pakistan is located across the river Ravi, about four kilometres from the Dera Baba Nanak shrine. It was established by the Sikh Guru in 1522.

    We Have The Mecca And Medina Of Sikhs: Imran Khan Refers To Kartarpur

    Stone For First Hindu Temple In Abu Dhabi To Be Laid In April

    Abu Dhabi is all set to get its first Hindu temple with the foundation stone laying ceremony of the place of worship going to be held in April, according to a media report.

    Stone For First Hindu Temple In Abu Dhabi To Be Laid In April

    Indian Doctors In UK Protest Doubling Of Healthcare Surcharge On Migrants

    Indian Doctors In UK Protest Doubling Of Healthcare Surcharge On Migrants
    The "Immigration Health Surcharge" was introduced in April 2015 and from December last year it was hiked from 200 pounds to 400 pounds per year.  

    Indian Doctors In UK Protest Doubling Of Healthcare Surcharge On Migrants

    UNSW Sydney marks India's Martyr's Day with Gandhi Oration

    UNSW Sydney marks India's Martyr's Day with Gandhi Oration
    Launched in 2012, the Gandhi Oration is delivered by a person whose life work exemplifies the ideals of Gandhi.

    UNSW Sydney marks India's Martyr's Day with Gandhi Oration