Friday, March 20, 2026
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    British Sikh Community Fears 'Islamophobia' On Them Being Ignored

    British Sikh Community Fears 'Islamophobia' On Them Being Ignored
    "A simple acknowledgment that Sikhs face Islamophobia would have allayed concerns. Like us, many will be right to ask the government why ministerial 'round tables' are the preserve of Jews and Muslims," a statement by the Network of Sikh Organisations

    British Sikh Community Fears 'Islamophobia' On Them Being Ignored

    3 Indian-Americans in Time magazine’s ‘Health Care 50’ list

    Three Indian-Americans have been named in Time magazine’s 2018 list of the 50 most influential people whose work is transforming health care in the US.  

    3 Indian-Americans in Time magazine’s ‘Health Care 50’ list

    Indian In Singapore Given ‘Stern Warning’ By Police For Posting Image Of Torn Flag

    Indian In Singapore Given ‘Stern Warning’ By Police For Posting Image Of Torn Flag
    An Indian in Singapore has been reprimanded by the police for posting on Facebook an image of the country’s torn flag to reveal the Indian flag underneath, a media report said on Wednesday.

    Indian In Singapore Given ‘Stern Warning’ By Police For Posting Image Of Torn Flag

    Indian-Origin Man Nilesh Sheth, Arrested For Bank Fraud, Must Forfeit Funds In UK

    Indian-Origin Man Nilesh Sheth, Arrested For Bank Fraud, Must Forfeit Funds In UK
    Nilesh Sheth, serving his sentence for money laundering and possessing criminal property, was told by a proceeds of crime hearing at the Old Bailey court in London this week to pay 62,000 pounds  

    Indian-Origin Man Nilesh Sheth, Arrested For Bank Fraud, Must Forfeit Funds In UK

    PM Modi Awarded 2018 Seoul Peace Prize For 'Modinomics', 'Furthering Democracy In India'

    PM Modi Awarded 2018 Seoul Peace Prize For 'Modinomics', 'Furthering Democracy In India'
    Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been named as the recipient of 2018 Seoul Peace Prize, a biennial award instituted to crystallise the wishes of the Korean people for peace on the Korean Peninsula and the rest of the world.

    PM Modi Awarded 2018 Seoul Peace Prize For 'Modinomics', 'Furthering Democracy In India'

    Indian Wins $1 Million With His First Dubai Duty Free Ticket

    A 45-year-old Indian expat won a jackpot of $1 million (3.6 million dirhams) in the Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire draw raffle on Tuesday.

    Indian Wins $1 Million With His First Dubai Duty Free Ticket