Wednesday, March 25, 2026
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    Twitter Blocks Sikhs For Justice Legal Adviser Gurpatwant Singh Pannun’s Account

    Twitter Blocks Sikhs For Justice Legal Adviser Gurpatwant Singh Pannun’s Account
    Microblogging site Twitter on Wednesday blocked the account of Gurpatwant Singh Pannun, the legal adviser to Sikhs for Justice (SFJ), the body that is seeking referendum for Sikhs in 2020.

    Twitter Blocks Sikhs For Justice Legal Adviser Gurpatwant Singh Pannun’s Account

    Pakistani ASF Female Officer Penalised For Viral Lip-Syncing Video

    Pakistani ASF Female Officer Penalised For Viral Lip-Syncing Video
    The officer posted at Sialkot airport has lost "two year's worth of increments and perks as a penalty for violating the ASF code of conduct that prohibits its employees from using social media."

    Pakistani ASF Female Officer Penalised For Viral Lip-Syncing Video

    VIDEO: 45 People Charged In Greenwood Gurudwara's Big Brawl In Indianapolis

    VIDEO: 45 People Charged In Greenwood Gurudwara's Big Brawl In Indianapolis
    A big brawl at a Sikh temple in the United States' Indianapolis that left four people with minor injuries has now resulted in charges against 27 additional individuals

    VIDEO: 45 People Charged In Greenwood Gurudwara's Big Brawl In Indianapolis

    3 Indian-Americans Win Primaries In Race For US House Of Representatives

    3 Indian-Americans Win Primaries In Race For US House Of Representatives
    Currently, the US House of Representatives has four Indian-Americans - the largest number so far in the history of the US Congress.

    3 Indian-Americans Win Primaries In Race For US House Of Representatives

    US Airman Convicted of Hate Crime For Beating Sikh Mehtab Singh Bakhshi Unconscious 2 Years Ago

    US Airman Convicted of Hate Crime For Beating Sikh Mehtab Singh Bakhshi Unconscious 2 Years Ago
    Convict pulled off victim’s turban and hit him in the face till he fell unconscious

    US Airman Convicted of Hate Crime For Beating Sikh Mehtab Singh Bakhshi Unconscious 2 Years Ago

    6 Indians Among Over 300 Arrested By US Immigration Authorities

    6 Indians Among Over 300 Arrested By US Immigration Authorities
    Six Indian nationals are among over 300 people arrested by American authorities for criminal activities and violating the country's immigration laws during a month-long crackdown across six states.

    6 Indians Among Over 300 Arrested By US Immigration Authorities