Wednesday, December 17, 2025
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    UK Sikh Girl Banned From Taking Kirpan To School Over Safety Concerns

    The girl brought the kirpan, worn by Sikhs as a mark of their faith, to the Redscope Primary School in Rotherham earlier this month, the Telegraph reported Wednesday.

    UK Sikh Girl Banned From Taking Kirpan To School Over Safety Concerns

    After Campaign From 12K Km Away, BJP Overseas Group In US Celebrates Win

    After Campaign From 12K Km Away, BJP Overseas Group In US Celebrates Win
    He told IANS on Thursday that over 1,000 volunteers from his organisation participated in phone bank call-a-thons that made more than 1 million calls to people in India asking them to vote for the Bharatiya Janata Party.    

    After Campaign From 12K Km Away, BJP Overseas Group In US Celebrates Win

    2 Indian Businessman First From The Community To Get 10-Year UAE Visa

    Vasu Shroff and Khushi Khatwani have been issued a 10-year-visa of the United Arab Emirates under UAE's long-term residency scheme to woo investors.  

    2 Indian Businessman First From The Community To Get 10-Year UAE Visa

    Indian-American Judge Orders Firm To Hand Over Donald Trump's Finance Records

    An Indian-American judge has rejected President Donald Trump's attempt to block House Democrats from getting his financial records, dealing an early setback to his administration in its legal battle with Congress.

    Indian-American Judge Orders Firm To Hand Over Donald Trump's Finance Records

    Feds Offer $15.8B In New Ships To Vancouver, Halifax While Opening Door To Davie

    OTTAWA — The federal Liberals are shaking up the government's multibillion-dollar shipbuilding plan, promising $15.7 billion in new work to the two shipyards 

    Feds Offer $15.8B In New Ships To Vancouver, Halifax While Opening Door To Davie

    Chinese Man Allegedly Pushed Pakistani Worker Into Furnace In Anger, Arrested

    The Chinese boss reportedly lost his cool after the Pakistani worker failed to comprehend his instructions.

    Chinese Man Allegedly Pushed Pakistani Worker Into Furnace In Anger, Arrested