Friday, December 19, 2025
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    Tax Filing: Indian-American Congressman Ami Bera Offers Help

    Tax Filing: Indian-American Congressman Ami Bera Offers Help
    Indian-American Congressman Ami Bera has offered to help the residents of California's Sacramento County who might be having issues with filing of taxes.

    Tax Filing: Indian-American Congressman Ami Bera Offers Help

    Local Media Reports A Canadian Tourist Died After Falling From Zipline In Thailand

    Local Media Reports A Canadian Tourist Died After Falling From Zipline In Thailand
    A Canadian tourist has died in Thailand after falling from a popular zipline on Saturday, according to a local media report.  

    Local Media Reports A Canadian Tourist Died After Falling From Zipline In Thailand

    Over 2,200 Sikhs From India Arrive In Pakistan To Celebrate Baisakhi

    Over 2,200 Sikhs From India Arrive In Pakistan To Celebrate Baisakhi
    Over 2,200 Sikh pilgrims from India arrived here on Friday to celebrate Baisakhi festival at Gurdwara Panja Sahib in Hasan Abdal city of Pakistan’s Punjab province.

    Over 2,200 Sikhs From India Arrive In Pakistan To Celebrate Baisakhi

    Chinese Company Under Fire For Claiming Black Hole 'Copyright'

    A Chinese online image provider has been criticised for claiming copyright over the photo of the black hole by flashing it on their website with their logo, according to a media report.    

    Chinese Company Under Fire For Claiming Black Hole 'Copyright'

    Indian-Origin Man In Singapore Jailed For Unlawfully Setting Off Diwali Fireworks

    An Indian-origin man has been jailed for three weeks in Singapore and also fined for setting off fireworks near housing blocks during Diwali celebrations last year.

    Indian-Origin Man In Singapore Jailed For Unlawfully Setting Off Diwali Fireworks

    Remarkable Mother Teresa Deemed Hate Speech: US Senator Ted Cruz Slams Twitter

    Remarkable Mother Teresa Deemed Hate Speech: US Senator Ted Cruz Slams Twitter
    "Here is a tweet that says abortion is profoundly anti-women and it is a quote from Mother Teresa and this tweet was blocked," Texas Senator Ted Cruz said.

    Remarkable Mother Teresa Deemed Hate Speech: US Senator Ted Cruz Slams Twitter