The country’s top doctor says Canada is past the peak of the COVID-19 wave caused by the Omicron variant.
"We are hopeful we are approaching a period of reduced transmission, allowing Canadians a chance to regain a sense of normalcy," Dr. Theresa Tam, chief public health officer, said Friday.
Tam released new national epidemiology and modelling that shows progress in key indicators, such as lab test positivity and reported cases.
Wastewater surveillance also showed the wave is on its way down. Tam said that modelling indicated the true number of infections from Omicron during the wave has been much higher than reported.
Tam said while there are reasons to hope, COVID-19 is still spreading at high levels and hospitals remain stretched thin.
"While Omicron activity has likely peaked, easing of public health measures could still lead to resurgence," she said.
Tam showed models around loosening restrictions. The data showed if restrictions are eased moderately, there could be a limited resurgence of daily cases with a potential for a slight increase of hospitalizations in the spring.
With a more substantial easing of measures, Tam said, there could be a large resurgence of daily cases, potentially exceeding prior peaks. That may not lead to a similar growth in hospitalizations, she said, because of the country's level of vaccinations.
"While a resurgence of cases is not unexpected given the characteristics of the Omicron variant, the good news is that current levels of immunity in the Canadian population are expected to reduce the impact of the Omicron infections going forward," she said.
Canada is ready to transition out of a crisis phase, she said. The country is in a better position to manage the pandemic without some of the more restrictive COVID-19 health measures.
She said people should continue to take precautions such as avoiding crowded places and wearing a mask when necessary.
"The cases might go up but as long as that wave of hospitalizations isn't as high we can probably cope with that. And with that comes a better balance."
