Tuesday, December 23, 2025
ADVT 
National

Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

Darpan News Desk The Canadian Press, 03 Jul, 2025 10:13 AM
  • Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

The C.D. Howe Institute predicts Ottawa's recently announced spending plans — which include a much bigger defence budget — will drive its deficits markedly higher in the coming years.

In a new analysis released today, the think tank says it expects Canada's deficit to top $92 billion this fiscal year, given Prime Minister Mark Carney's plan to meet NATO's defence spending target of two per cent of GDP.

C.D. Howe says it expects deficit growth to slow after that but predicts deficits will still average around $78 billion annually over four years — more than double the level forecast by the parliamentary budget officer before the spring federal election.

The Liberal government did not publish a spring budget this year and has said it will instead push the planned fiscal update to the fall.

In addition to ramping up defence spending, Prime Minister Carney's Liberals recently pushed forward legislation to accelerate major project development and delivered a one-percentage-point cut to the lowest income tax rate.

The C.D. Howe Institute accuses Ottawa of making costly commitments without showing the numbers to Canadians.

Picture Courtesy: THE CANADIAN PRESS/Spencer Colby

MORE National ARTICLES

Confused about Mark Carney's blind trust? Here's how they work

Confused about Mark Carney's blind trust? Here's how they work
Prime Minister Mark Carney's critics have been asking pointed questions lately about the assets in the former central banker's blind trust — a tool meant to allow politicians to avoid conflicts of interest. How do blind trusts work?

Confused about Mark Carney's blind trust? Here's how they work

B.C. Greens want answers about New Democrats' emergency powers legislation

B.C. Greens want answers about New Democrats' emergency powers legislation
Interim Leader Jeremy Valeriote said in a statement that while he understands the "urgency of the situation" given the ongoing trade strife with the United States, the proposed Bill 7 in its current form has "vague wording" and "could allow for sweeping economic decisions without clear limits or transparency."

B.C. Greens want answers about New Democrats' emergency powers legislation

Poilievre wants 'shovel ready zones' with pre-approved construction permits

Poilievre wants 'shovel ready zones' with pre-approved construction permits
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre wants to create what he calls "shovel ready zones" that would have pre-approved permits for major projects resources or energy projects. In a media statement, Poilievre says that the goal is to permits in place for a mine, liquefied natural gas plant, pipeline or other major project. 

Poilievre wants 'shovel ready zones' with pre-approved construction permits

Federal union concerned about planned cuts to Translation Bureau

Federal union concerned about planned cuts to Translation Bureau
A major federal union says it's worried about a plan to eliminate more than 300 positions at Canada’s Translation Bureau. In a news release, the Canadian Association of Professional Employees says it’s condemning a five-year business plan that would shrink the bureau’s workforce by almost 25 per cent.

Federal union concerned about planned cuts to Translation Bureau

Prime Minister Mark Carney expected to call federal election on Sunday

Prime Minister Mark Carney expected to call federal election on Sunday
Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to launch a federal election campaign on Sunday and send Canadians to the polls as soon as April 28. While sources would not confirm the date of the vote, federal campaigns must run at least 37 days.

Prime Minister Mark Carney expected to call federal election on Sunday

Bank of Canada signals shift in how it sets rates amid tariff uncertainty

Bank of Canada signals shift in how it sets rates amid tariff uncertainty
Tiff Macklem says that means monetary policymakers may be “acting quickly” when it comes to setting interest rates, rather than looking far into the horizon to stay “flexible and adaptable.”

Bank of Canada signals shift in how it sets rates amid tariff uncertainty