Tuesday, December 30, 2025
ADVT 
National

Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

Darpan News Desk The Canadian Press, 03 Jul, 2025 10:13 AM
  • Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

The C.D. Howe Institute predicts Ottawa's recently announced spending plans — which include a much bigger defence budget — will drive its deficits markedly higher in the coming years.

In a new analysis released today, the think tank says it expects Canada's deficit to top $92 billion this fiscal year, given Prime Minister Mark Carney's plan to meet NATO's defence spending target of two per cent of GDP.

C.D. Howe says it expects deficit growth to slow after that but predicts deficits will still average around $78 billion annually over four years — more than double the level forecast by the parliamentary budget officer before the spring federal election.

The Liberal government did not publish a spring budget this year and has said it will instead push the planned fiscal update to the fall.

In addition to ramping up defence spending, Prime Minister Carney's Liberals recently pushed forward legislation to accelerate major project development and delivered a one-percentage-point cut to the lowest income tax rate.

The C.D. Howe Institute accuses Ottawa of making costly commitments without showing the numbers to Canadians.

Picture Courtesy: THE CANADIAN PRESS/Spencer Colby

MORE National ARTICLES

Canada set to preside over G7 in 2025 — what that means and what's at stake

Canada set to preside over G7 in 2025 — what that means and what's at stake
Canada is set to take over the presidency of the G7 in 2025, leading a forum of seven of the world's most advanced economies at a time of political instability at home and around the world. Here's a look at what hosting the G7 means, and what's at stake.

Canada set to preside over G7 in 2025 — what that means and what's at stake

Feds watering down key promise: gun-control group

Feds watering down key promise: gun-control group
A leading gun-control group is accusing the Liberal government of watering down a promise to ensure firearms are properly scrutinized before entering the Canadian market. The government recently published proposed regulations aimed at ensuring all gun makes and models for sale in Canada are known to the federal firearms registrar.

Feds watering down key promise: gun-control group

Possible scenarios that could play out in Ottawa as the Liberal government teeters

Possible scenarios that could play out in Ottawa as the Liberal government teeters
With MPs set to return to the House of Commons on Jan. 27, the Liberal grip on power appears tenuous. The NDP, which has been a steady ally of the minority government since the 2021 election, is no longer planning to support the Liberals.

Possible scenarios that could play out in Ottawa as the Liberal government teeters

China slams Canada human-rights criticism as 'hypocritical farce of double standards'

China slams Canada human-rights criticism as 'hypocritical farce of double standards'
China is accusing Canada of hypocrisy for criticizing Beijing's human-rights record, pointing to issues faced by Indigenous Peoples. The blowback comes after Ottawa sanctioned eight Chinese officials it accuses of "grave human rights violations" against ethnic and religious minorities, and voiced concern about democracy in Hong Kong.

China slams Canada human-rights criticism as 'hypocritical farce of double standards'

Canada primed for more severe wildfire days, driven by dry forest fuel: study

Canada primed for more severe wildfire days, driven by dry forest fuel: study
Canadian forests are increasingly primed for severe, uncontrollable wildfires, a study published Thursday said, underlining what the authors described as a pressing need to proactively mitigate the "increased threat posed by climate change." The study by Canadian researchers, published in the peer-reviewed journal Science, looked at Canadian fire severity from 1981 to 2020. 

Canada primed for more severe wildfire days, driven by dry forest fuel: study

B.C. property values flat across much of province, especially in urban centres

B.C. property values flat across much of province, especially in urban centres
BC Assessment says the newly updated property values, as of July 1, 2024, show almost all Lower Mainland communities within a three per cent rise or decline from the previous year.

B.C. property values flat across much of province, especially in urban centres