Saturday, December 6, 2025
ADVT 
National

Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

Darpan News Desk The Canadian Press, 03 Jul, 2025 10:13 AM
  • Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

The C.D. Howe Institute predicts Ottawa's recently announced spending plans — which include a much bigger defence budget — will drive its deficits markedly higher in the coming years.

In a new analysis released today, the think tank says it expects Canada's deficit to top $92 billion this fiscal year, given Prime Minister Mark Carney's plan to meet NATO's defence spending target of two per cent of GDP.

C.D. Howe says it expects deficit growth to slow after that but predicts deficits will still average around $78 billion annually over four years — more than double the level forecast by the parliamentary budget officer before the spring federal election.

The Liberal government did not publish a spring budget this year and has said it will instead push the planned fiscal update to the fall.

In addition to ramping up defence spending, Prime Minister Carney's Liberals recently pushed forward legislation to accelerate major project development and delivered a one-percentage-point cut to the lowest income tax rate.

The C.D. Howe Institute accuses Ottawa of making costly commitments without showing the numbers to Canadians.

Picture Courtesy: THE CANADIAN PRESS/Spencer Colby

MORE National ARTICLES

Here's how provinces are trying to remove Canada's internal trade barriers

Here's how provinces are trying to remove Canada's internal trade barriers
Here's a look at some trade agreements, legislation and proposals among provinces and territories that are in addition to the New West Partnership between the four Western provinces that has been in place in some form since 2010.

Here's how provinces are trying to remove Canada's internal trade barriers

From lacrosse myths to kilts: 5 things you may not know about Canadian symbols

From lacrosse myths to kilts: 5 things you may not know about Canadian symbols
If the bill passes, the brand will become Canada's 10th national symbol — joining O Canada, the coat of arms and the maple tree.

From lacrosse myths to kilts: 5 things you may not know about Canadian symbols

Retiring government rep Marc Gold calls Senate 'greatest privilege' of his life

Retiring government rep Marc Gold calls Senate 'greatest privilege' of his life
Gold reaches the Senate's mandatory retirement age of 75 on Monday.

Retiring government rep Marc Gold calls Senate 'greatest privilege' of his life

Is Canada now free of internal trade barriers? Read the fine print

Is Canada now free of internal trade barriers? Read the fine print
Throughout the spring federal election campaign, Liberal Leader Mark Carney repeatedly vowed to "eliminate" interprovincial trade barriers and create "free trade by Canada Day."

Is Canada now free of internal trade barriers? Read the fine print

Amid calls for separation, Alberta's new referendum rules set to formally take effect

Amid calls for separation, Alberta's new referendum rules set to formally take effect
Beginning Friday, Premier Danielle Smith’s United Conservative government is officially lowering the required threshold for citizens to initiate a provincewide referendum, including on separation.

Amid calls for separation, Alberta's new referendum rules set to formally take effect

Canada cancelled its digital services tax. What was it and why did the U.S. hate it?

Canada cancelled its digital services tax. What was it and why did the U.S. hate it?
The announcement from Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne came late Sunday evening, following a phone call between Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump.

Canada cancelled its digital services tax. What was it and why did the U.S. hate it?