Monday, December 22, 2025
ADVT 
National

Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

Darpan News Desk The Canadian Press, 03 Jul, 2025 10:13 AM
  • Federal deficit could average $78B over 4 years, think tank warns

The C.D. Howe Institute predicts Ottawa's recently announced spending plans — which include a much bigger defence budget — will drive its deficits markedly higher in the coming years.

In a new analysis released today, the think tank says it expects Canada's deficit to top $92 billion this fiscal year, given Prime Minister Mark Carney's plan to meet NATO's defence spending target of two per cent of GDP.

C.D. Howe says it expects deficit growth to slow after that but predicts deficits will still average around $78 billion annually over four years — more than double the level forecast by the parliamentary budget officer before the spring federal election.

The Liberal government did not publish a spring budget this year and has said it will instead push the planned fiscal update to the fall.

In addition to ramping up defence spending, Prime Minister Carney's Liberals recently pushed forward legislation to accelerate major project development and delivered a one-percentage-point cut to the lowest income tax rate.

The C.D. Howe Institute accuses Ottawa of making costly commitments without showing the numbers to Canadians.

Picture Courtesy: THE CANADIAN PRESS/Spencer Colby

MORE National ARTICLES

Trump's tariffs trigger two-week shutdown at Stellantis assembly plant in Windsor

Trump's tariffs trigger two-week shutdown at Stellantis assembly plant in Windsor
Automaker Stellantis is temporarily pausing production at its assembly plant in Windsor, Ont., for two weeks as it assesses the effects of the recently announced U.S. tariffs on imported vehicles.

Trump's tariffs trigger two-week shutdown at Stellantis assembly plant in Windsor

Prime Minister Mark Carney says Canada will match U.S. auto tariffs

Prime Minister Mark Carney says Canada will match U.S. auto tariffs
Prime Minister Mark Carney says Canada will match U.S. President Donald Trump's 25 per cent auto tariffs with a levy on vehicles imported from the United States.

Prime Minister Mark Carney says Canada will match U.S. auto tariffs

Coquihalla Highway northbound closed between Hope and Merritt, B.C.

Coquihalla Highway northbound closed between Hope and Merritt, B.C.
The Coquihalla Highway is closed to northbound traffic between Hope and Merritt, B.C., due to a "vehicle incident."

Coquihalla Highway northbound closed between Hope and Merritt, B.C.

Mark Carney suspending campaign to hold meetings on Trump tariffs

Mark Carney suspending campaign to hold meetings on Trump tariffs
Liberal Leader Mark Carney is pausing his federal election campaign and returning to Ottawa for meetings as prime minister ahead of Wednesday's announcement on U.S. tariffs.

Mark Carney suspending campaign to hold meetings on Trump tariffs

Police investigate 'suspicious' fires in three Langley, B.C., homes

Police investigate 'suspicious' fires in three Langley, B.C., homes
Mounties in Langley, B.C., say they are investigating three separate house fires that broke out early Tuesday.

Police investigate 'suspicious' fires in three Langley, B.C., homes

Alberta Premier Smith expects key industries to escape imposition of new U.S. tariffs

Alberta Premier Smith expects key industries to escape imposition of new U.S. tariffs
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith says she expects some major industries, including those in her province, won't face new tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump.

Alberta Premier Smith expects key industries to escape imposition of new U.S. tariffs