Sunday, March 29, 2026
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    Sukhpal Khaira Made President Of Punjab AAP Rebels

    Sukhpal Khaira Made President Of Punjab AAP Rebels
    Dissident Aam Aadmi Party leader Sukhpal Khaira was made ad-hoc president the party’s rebel faction, the leader announced on Monday.

    Sukhpal Khaira Made President Of Punjab AAP Rebels

    Imran Khan Moves In To Military Secretary's Home, Cuts Down On Perks

    Imran Khan, announcing a series of austerity measures to cut down the expenditure during his maiden address to the nation late last night, said that he wanted to live in his own house in Banigala "but was told by security agencies that my life was under threat which is why I am living here".

    Imran Khan Moves In To Military Secretary's Home, Cuts Down On Perks

    New Zealand Trying To Attract More Indian Students: Envoy

    New Zealand Trying To Attract More Indian Students: Envoy
    The New Zealand High Commissioner to India said her country attracts about 20,000 Indian students every year.

    New Zealand Trying To Attract More Indian Students: Envoy

    My Thoughts Are With The People: Raja Krishnamoorthi Horrified To See Loss Of Life By Kerala Floods

    My Thoughts Are With The People: Raja Krishnamoorthi Horrified To See Loss Of Life By Kerala Floods
    A top Indian-American Congressman has said he is “horrified” by the destruction and loss of life caused by the severe floods in rain-battered Kerala, saying the “unimaginable” human cost of the tragedy is felt by families across India and the world.

    My Thoughts Are With The People: Raja Krishnamoorthi Horrified To See Loss Of Life By Kerala Floods

    Indian-American Doctor Convicted For Raping Patient Won't Serve Jail Time

    Indian-American Doctor Convicted For Raping Patient Won't Serve Jail Time
    DNA evidence collected from a rape kit matched the DNA sample of the guilty doctor's cheek swab.

    Indian-American Doctor Convicted For Raping Patient Won't Serve Jail Time

    Indian IT Manager In US Convicted Of Sexually Assaulting Sleeping Woman On Flight

    Indian IT Manager In US Convicted Of Sexually Assaulting Sleeping Woman On Flight
    Prabhu Ramamoorthy, who worked for an IT company for over two years, will be sentenced on December 12 by US District Judge Terrence Berg, The Detroit News reported.

    Indian IT Manager In US Convicted Of Sexually Assaulting Sleeping Woman On Flight