Sunday, March 29, 2026
ADVT 
International

UK Would Enter Recession In Case Of No-deal Brexit: Watchdog

Darpan News Desk IANS, 18 Jul, 2019 08:40 PM

    The UK's economy would slide into recession in 2020 if it leaves the EU without a deal, according to a report by the country's fiscal watchdog on Thursday.


    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which provides independent economic advice to the British government, said the economy would lose two per cent in gross domestic product if the UK pulled out of the EU on October 31 without first securing a future agreement.


    Both Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, have kept the no-deal Brexit option on the table.


    "Heightened uncertainty and declining confidence deter investment, while higher trade barriers with the EU weigh on exports," said the OBR's report on its no-deal Brexit stress test.


    "Together, these push the economy into recession, with asset prices and the pound falling sharply."


    "Real GDP falls by 2 per cent by the end of 2020 and is 4 per cent below our March forecast by that point," according to the report cited by Efe news.


    Such a scenario would push borrowing up to 30 billion pounds a year and would add 12 per cent GDP to net debt by 2023-24, both projected figures being higher than initially forecast in a report in March.


    A no-deal scenario would raise trade barriers and prompt a fall in inward migration and productivity output.


    "The imposition of tariffs and the sterling depreciation raise inflation and squeeze real household incomes, but the Monetary Policy Committee is able to cut Bank Rate to support demand," the report said.


    It added that the Bank of England could think about lowering interest rates to counter inflation.


    The UK had originally been slated to leave the bloc on March 29 but the process was delayed as the outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May failed to get backing for her withdrawal deal.


    She is due to be replaced by one of the two leadership contenders by the end of the month.


    Whoever takes over the Conservative Party and the office of Prime Minister will have to immediately tackle the issue of withdrawing from the EU. Brussels has until now stood firm that it would not compromise on the withdrawal deal.


    The EU's top Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said the UK would have to "face the consequences" if it decides to quit the bloc without an agreement.


    He told the BBC that May's Brexit policy, which failed to make it through parliament three times, was the only way to ensure a smooth departure.


    May faced backlash from members of her party who thought her withdrawal deal offered too many concessions to the EU.

    MORE International ARTICLES

    Hate Crime? Sikh Man Terlok Singh Stabbed To Death At His Store In US's New Jersey

    Hate Crime? Sikh Man Terlok Singh  Stabbed To Death At His Store In US's New Jersey
    Terlok Singh was discovered dead by his cousin on Thursday in his store with an apparent stab wound in the chest. 

    Hate Crime? Sikh Man Terlok Singh Stabbed To Death At His Store In US's New Jersey

    Jewish Group Accuses Liberal MP Iqra Khalid Of Giving Award To Purveyor Of Anti-Semitism

    OTTAWA — A Liberal MP is under fire for presenting a "certificate of appreciation" to a man one Jewish advocacy group labels a purveyor of anti-Semitism.

    Jewish Group Accuses Liberal MP Iqra Khalid Of Giving Award To Purveyor Of Anti-Semitism

    India-Born British Billionaire Sanjeev Gupta Launches Renewable Plan In Australia

    India-Born British Billionaire Sanjeev Gupta Launches Renewable Plan In Australia
    India-born British billionaire Sanjeev Gupta has launched a $1 billion, one-gigawatt renewable energy plan based in South Australia's mid-north that he says will lead the country's industry transition to more competitive power.

    India-Born British Billionaire Sanjeev Gupta Launches Renewable Plan In Australia

    Indians Abroad Celebrate Independence Day With Traditional Fervour

    Indians Abroad Celebrate Independence Day With Traditional Fervour
    Indians in China, Australia, Singapore and many other countries marked the day with hoisting of the national flag and singing of patriotic songs.

    Indians Abroad Celebrate Independence Day With Traditional Fervour

    Increase In Indian Asylum Seekers Crossing Into US From Mexico: Report

    Indian citizens are among thousands of migrants from Haiti, Africa and Asia who are trekking across Latin America through travel routes forged by Latino immigrants, The Los Angeles Times reported.

    Increase In Indian Asylum Seekers Crossing Into US From Mexico: Report

    I Probably Funded Al Qaeda: Indian-Origin Restaurateur Taj Sardar Racially Abused

    I Probably Funded Al Qaeda: Indian-Origin Restaurateur Taj Sardar Racially Abused
    Taj Sardar, the owner of 'The Kings Diner' in Ashland, Kentucky, was targeted by racial posts by the man after eating at his restaurant, WSAZ-TV reported.

    I Probably Funded Al Qaeda: Indian-Origin Restaurateur Taj Sardar Racially Abused